Pre-tourney Rankings
Notre Dame
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#30
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#20
Pace59.5#316
Improvement-0.4#188

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#12
Improvement-3.1#295

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#81
Improvement+2.7#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 42.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round55.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.4% n/a n/a
Final Four3.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 79   Evansville W 58-49 81%     1 - 0 +11.8 -7.4 +20.0
  Nov 12, 2012 308   Monmouth W 84-57 98%     2 - 0 +14.2 +3.0 +9.7
  Nov 16, 2012 75   Saint Joseph's L 70-79 OT 70%     2 - 1 -2.3 +3.8 -6.7
  Nov 17, 2012 62   BYU W 78-68 66%     3 - 1 +18.0 +10.4 +7.7
  Nov 21, 2012 112   George Washington W 65-48 86%     4 - 1 +17.5 -2.6 +20.5
  Nov 24, 2012 329   St. Francis (PA) W 69-52 99%     5 - 1 +1.3 -1.9 +5.7
  Nov 26, 2012 290   Chicago St. W 92-65 98%     6 - 1 +15.5 +23.8 -6.4
  Nov 29, 2012 42   Kentucky W 64-50 69%     7 - 1 +21.0 +6.1 +17.7
  Dec 08, 2012 222   Brown W 84-57 95%     8 - 1 +20.3 +23.8 +0.8
  Dec 15, 2012 73   Purdue W 81-68 69%     9 - 1 +20.0 +7.5 +11.5
  Dec 17, 2012 242   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-62 96%     10 - 1 +4.1 -0.5 +4.9
  Dec 19, 2012 336   Kennesaw St. W 85-57 99%     11 - 1 +10.3 +15.8 -1.6
  Dec 21, 2012 133   Niagara W 89-67 89%     12 - 1 +21.0 +16.0 +5.4
  Jan 05, 2013 113   Seton Hall W 93-74 86%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +19.5 +26.2 -5.7
  Jan 07, 2013 38   @ Cincinnati W 66-60 41%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +20.5 +17.7 +4.0
  Jan 12, 2013 51   Connecticut L 58-65 70%     14 - 2 2 - 1 -0.4 -0.5 -1.2
  Jan 15, 2013 97   @ St. John's L 63-67 66%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +4.0 +0.2 +3.7
  Jan 19, 2013 98   Rutgers W 69-66 84%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +4.5 -2.1 +6.7
  Jan 21, 2013 13   Georgetown L 47-63 51%     15 - 4 3 - 3 -4.0 -3.4 -5.0
  Jan 26, 2013 124   @ South Florida W 73-65 72%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +14.0 +22.7 -6.6
  Jan 30, 2013 49   Villanova W 65-60 70%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +11.7 +8.7 +3.9
  Feb 02, 2013 165   @ DePaul W 79-71 OT 80%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +11.3 +2.1 +8.8
  Feb 04, 2013 11   @ Syracuse L 47-63 27%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +2.5 -6.7 +5.7
  Feb 09, 2013 1   Louisville W 104-101 5OT 30%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +20.7 +11.4 +8.5
  Feb 13, 2013 165   DePaul W 82-78 OT 92%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +0.8 +2.3 -1.7
  Feb 16, 2013 63   @ Providence L 54-71 55%     20 - 6 8 - 5 -6.0 -7.4 -0.4
  Feb 18, 2013 8   @ Pittsburgh W 51-42 24%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +28.7 -1.1 +31.8
  Feb 24, 2013 38   Cincinnati W 62-41 66%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +29.0 +12.4 +22.0
  Mar 02, 2013 22   @ Marquette L 64-72 35%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +8.1 -1.0 +8.9
  Mar 05, 2013 97   St. John's W 66-40 84%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +27.6 +5.8 +24.8
  Mar 09, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 57-73 13%     23 - 8 11 - 7 +8.2 +5.5 +0.8
  Mar 13, 2013 98   Rutgers W 69-61 76%     24 - 8 +12.8 +5.2 +8.5
  Mar 14, 2013 22   Marquette W 73-65 47%     25 - 8 +20.9 +6.6 +14.5
  Mar 15, 2013 1   Louisville L 57-69 20%     25 - 9 +9.0 +0.7 +7.5
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 6.6 0.0 0.6 9.3 32.5 42.6 12.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.3 99.7%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6.6 0.0 0.6 9.3 32.5 42.6 12.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.3 99.7%